Naija Decides 2023

Africa’s largest democratic exercise is set for February 25, 2023. This is a blog share my analysis along the way. No endorsements, no paid promotion.

Peter Obi: Optimism and Pessimism in 5 Graphs

By virtue of his breakout presidential campaign, Peter Obi has already earned himself a page in the Nigerian political history books. But can he rout the current PDP-APC duopoly to take the presidency? And how firmly have the two largest parties held onto power across the states? State-level data** from the 2011, 2015, and 2019…

Nigeria Holds a Bad Hand in any OPEC Deal

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its partners are meeting this week to mull further increases to global oil production. Ahead of any announcement from the cartel’s confab, one thing is already certain—the deal will not be a boon for Africa’s largest oil producer, Nigeria. Cheered on by president Joe Biden and…

One Step Forward, One Step Back for the Appointee Scandal

For just a brief moment, it seemed like President Muhammadu Buhari had finally taken decisive steps to end the largely self-inflicted scandals plaguing the APC’s most prominent presidential aspirants. Not so fast. The scandals revolve around the ability of political appointees (mostly cabinet members) to run in party primaries while holding their job, and the…

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